Prediction and Betting Advise – Pakistan vs Sri Lanka T20 Semi Final

Posted on 04 Oct 2012 at 4:13pm

Pakistan-vs-Sri-Lanka-Semi-Final-Match-T20-World-Cup-2012

ICC World Twenty20 Semi-Final | Pakistan vs Sri Lanka | Prediction, Betting Odds and Advise

  • Match Schedule: Today, 4 October 2012
  • Venue: Premadasa Stadium, Colombo

Result Prediction

We will take into account the following factors:

  • Team composition (batting and bowling quality of the two teams)
  • Current form of the players
  • The pitch condition and how it affects the two teams

 Team: Pakistan

As per probable XI:

 

T20 World Cup 2012: Batting Performance – Pakistan
Player Mat Inns Runs Ave SR HS 4s + 6s
Mohammad Hafeez 5 5 122 24.4 96.06 45 14
Imran Nazir 5 5 133 26.6 164.19 72 24
Nasir Jamshed 5 5 144 36 141.17 56 16
Kamran Akmal 5 5 63 15.75 112.5 32 6
Umar Akmal 5 4 96 48 117.07 43* 11
Abdul Razzaq 1 1 22 22 129.41 22 3
Shahid Afridi 5 4 30 7.5 142.85 14 5
Shoaib Malik 5 4 53 26.5 91.37 28 5
Umar Gul 5 2 44 22 162.96 32 7

 

 

While the Pakistani top three seem to have done well, the lower order has under performed.

Kamran Akmal has under performed while his brother has done much better.

Betting Advise: While you can start by being bullish on Pakistan, back out if early wickets fall. Afridi, Malik and Razzaq are yet to have done any wonders.

 

T20 World Cup 2012: Bowling Performance – Pakistan
Player Mat Inns Overs Mdns Runs Wkts Ave Econ
Raza Hasan 3 3 11 1 48 3 16 4.36
Mohammad Hafeez 5 5 16 0 95 4 23.75 5.93
Saeed Ajmal 5 5 20 1 130 8 16.25 6.5
Shahid Afridi 5 5 20 0 143 3 47.66 7.15
Shoaib Malik 5 1 2 0 19 0 9.5
Umar Gul 5 5 14 0 142 2 71 10.14

 

Bowling has always been Pakistan’s strength, and it shows here in the World Twenty20 as well.

Saeed Ajmal has no doubt been the star.

But he has been ably supported by Raza Hasan and Hafeez in the spin department.

Afridi has been average. Umar Gul and Malik have disappointed.

Pakistan-vs-Sri-Lanka-T20-Semifinal-Match-Prediction

Betting Advise: Even if Pakistan don’t start off well, don’t panic. The spinners have done splendidly thus far, and get things back in control. So, if Gul gives away early runs, you might be able to pick up good odds to place your bet on Pakistan.

Team: Sri Lanka

As per probable XI

 

T20 World Cup 2012: Batting Performance – Sri Lanka
Player Mat Inns Runs Ave BF SR 4s+6s
DPMD Jayawardene 5 5 168 42 137 122.62 25
AD Mathews 5 2 40 40 30 133.33 4
BMAJ Mendis 5 4 76 38 57 133.33 10
KC Sangakkara 5 5 130 32.5 97 134.02 14
TM Dilshan 5 5 144 28.8 102 141.17 18
NLTC Perera 5 4 38 19 24 158.33 4
HDRL Thirimanne 5 3 23 11.5 14 164.28 3
KMDN Kulasekara 5 1 1 3 33.33 0

 

Top order has done well. So you can be bullish on Sri Lanka at the start.

Middle and lower order batsmen have done their jobs. So you can expect a lot from Lanka while batting. If they are given a stiff target and you get the right odds, it might not be a bad idea to place to bet on Lanka. Caution: Pakistan bowling is good and as we advised above, they can turn things around in the middle with Ajmal. So the idea behind placing the bet should be to square off the position quickly, preferably by the close of the power play overs.

 

T20 World Cup Bowling Performance – Sri Lanka
Player Mat Inns Overs Runs Wkts Ave Econ
BMAJ Mendis 5 4 9 54 5 10.8 6
KMDN Kulasekara 5 5 16 108 5 21.6 6.75
BAW Mendis 4 4 16 108 9 12 6.75
AD Mathews 5 5 12 81 1 81 6.75
SL Malinga 5 5 16.3 134 8 16.75 8.12
NLTC Perera 5 2 3 28 1 28 9.33

 

Pretty good scene there for Sri Lanka. Nothing striking, but you can expect a sound professional performance from them.

But they don’t quite have the attack to defend a low score. So beware if their batsmen fail.

Similarly they have an attack which will be difficult to score too many of. So if they have a tall score, they should be able to defend it.

Pitch Report: Premadasa Stadium

As we have seen in the final Super Eight matches, the wicket has begun offering more and more help to spinners.

Batsmen are finding it difficult to hit it big. So don’t expect big scores. It will be a likely 135-150 affair.

Both teams have good spinners, though Pakistan have the edge in this department.

Home conditions suit Sri Lanka, and overall their batsmen look more well settled.

Overall Prediction:

No clear favorite team here.

Pre-match Odds for an outright win (Betfair)

  • Pakistan: 2.20
  • Sri Lanka 1.81

Those odds are because of the home advantage that Sri Lanka will enjoy. But don’t read too much into it. Since you are getting better odds on Pakistan to begin with, the right thing to do would be to start by placing a small bet on them right away. Then proceed carefully as the match progresses.